Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.2% vs 56.4%). Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.9% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Frost 55.7% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 67.4%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 70.1%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 50.4%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 57.6%
57.6%
42.4%
Kopitar
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kopitar
Frost
Last 6: Kopitar 4-2 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Kopitar
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
0
Kopitar
Frost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
54.8% (691)
55.0% (686)
-0.2%
Power Play
64.9% (205)
60.8% (166)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
50.3% (149)
100.0% (5)
-49.7%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +49.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Kopitar is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (707).
Kopitar shoots left. Frost is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Frost
Home
56.8% (533)
56.1% (428)
Away
55.5% (512)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Kopitar
Frost
P1
55.7%
58.9%
P2
57.0%
55.4%
P3
56.0%
54.1%
OT
52.9%
70.0%
Final 5 min
56.6%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
66.0%▲
52.5%
56.2%
Frost
66.0%▲
60.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |