Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Frost on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 58.5% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.8% vs Frost 51.1% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 73.8%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 67.2%
Neutral zone
Frost 54.5%
Result
Morgan Frost favored at 67.0%
33.0%
67.0%
Kopitar
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kopitar
Frost
Last 6: Kopitar 3-3 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
2
3
Kopitar
Frost
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Frost
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,085)
50.3% (825)
+6.6%
Power Play
68.8% (256)
54.9% (204)
+13.9%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (196)
50.0% (4)
-6.1%
On power play, Kopitar has a +13.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Kopitar is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Kopitar shoots left. Frost is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (697).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Frost
Home
58.4% (774)
50.7% (489)
Away
56.0% (763)
51.7% (544)
By Period
Kopitar
Frost
P1
59.4%
53.6%
P2
56.8%
47.8%
P3
55.9%
52.0%
OT
45.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.2%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 17, 2025 | 3 | 03:16 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 17, 2025 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 13:15 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 02:32 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |