Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.1% vs 56.3%). Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Frost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Frost 55.7% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Frost 70.2%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 65.5%
Neutral zone
Frost 54.7%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Kopitar
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kopitar
Frost
Last 6: Kopitar 4-2 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Frost
0
2
Kopitar
Frost
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
0
Kopitar
Frost
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (711)
54.9% (701)
+0.0%
Power Play
64.3% (207)
60.8% (166)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (150)
100.0% (5)
-49.3%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +49.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Kopitar is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Kopitar shoots left. Frost is 57.0% vs left-shot opponents (586).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Frost
Home
56.8% (533)
56.0% (443)
Away
55.3% (535)
56.6% (429)
By Period
Kopitar
Frost
P1
55.9%
58.9%
P2
57.1%
55.3%
P3
55.4%
54.0%
OT
55.6%
70.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.1%
Frost
62.0%▲
59.0%
56.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 11:27 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 06:49 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 09:41 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 2 | 00:52 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 13, 2025 | 1 | 10:51 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |