Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.6% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Foligno 52.0% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 68.4%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 67.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 50.6%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 59.5%
40.5%
59.5%
Kopitar
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Kopitar
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
2
Kopitar
Foligno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
53.4% (249)
+3.0%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
53.2% (154)
+4.1%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
40.6% (32)
+4.9%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Kopitar is 54.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,024).
Kopitar shoots left. Foligno is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (243).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Foligno
Home
56.1% (786)
57.3% (225)
Away
54.0% (774)
47.1% (210)
By Period
Kopitar
Foligno
P1
56.2%
53.0%
P2
55.4%
51.8%
P3
53.0%
52.6%
Final 5 min
56.1%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:07 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |