Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Kopitar wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Foligno 48.6% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Kopitar leads 18-10 in 28 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 79.5%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 95.3%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 93.9%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
Kopitar
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
10
(28 meetings)
18
10
Kopitar
Foligno
Last 10: Kopitar 6-4 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
4
6
Kopitar
Foligno
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
8
2
Kopitar
Foligno
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
6
2
Kopitar
Foligno
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,723)
48.3% (2,810)
+6.3%
Power Play
59.2% (3,582)
52.3% (730)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,941)
44.0% (455)
+4.4%
On power play, Kopitar has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Kopitar is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (15,150).
Kopitar shoots left. Foligno is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (2,496).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Foligno
Home
55.3% (11,643)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
53.7% (11,651)
47.2% (1,984)
By Period
Kopitar
Foligno
P1
54.5%
47.6%
P2
54.9%
50.4%
P3
53.9%
48.3%
OT
59.2%
29.7%
Final 5 min
54.9%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
Foligno
54.0%▲
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:54 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:45 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:28 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 3 | 19:17 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 26, 2025 | 1 | 11:50 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 10:50 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 20, 2025 | 2 | 01:23 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 10:32 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 10:22 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 03:26 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 18, 2024 | 3 | 18:18 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:14 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 1 | 14:07 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 13, 2018 | 3 | 03:45 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 3, 2018 | 2 | 12:48 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |