Scouting Report
Ryan Johansen holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johansen shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Johansen 58.2% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 12-8 in 20 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 57.8%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 66.1%
Neutral zone
Johansen 50.1%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Kopitar
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
12
(20 meetings)
8
12
Kopitar
Johansen
Last 10: Kopitar 3-7 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
1
4
Kopitar
Johansen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
3
4
Kopitar
Johansen
7 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Kopitar
Johansen
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
59.8% (625)
-3.4%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
58.2% (196)
+1.9%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
51.9% (27)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, Johansen has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Kopitar is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (583).
Kopitar shoots left. Johansen is 60.4% vs left-shot opponents (594).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Johansen
Home
56.3% (783)
60.3% (436)
Away
55.5% (825)
58.0% (412)
By Period
Kopitar
Johansen
P1
57.9%
61.3%
P2
54.5%
60.4%
P3
55.2%
56.0%
OT
57.6%
56.3%
Final 5 min
55.9%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:10 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 10:59 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 12:01 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 11:54 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 04:51 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 02:07 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:15 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 18, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 3 | 13:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 18, 2022 | 1 | 01:47 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |