Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Johansen on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 67 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Johansen 53.3% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Johansen leads 123-92 in 215 meetings
Offensive zone
Johansen 73.8%
Defensive zone
Johansen 66.4%
Neutral zone
Johansen 70.2%
Result
Ryan Johansen favored at 70.2%
29.8%
70.2%
Kopitar
Johansen
Head-to-Head Record
92
-
123
(215 meetings)
92
123
Kopitar
Johansen
Last 10: Kopitar 5-5 Johansen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johansen
21
46
Kopitar
Johansen
67 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
34
29
Kopitar
Johansen
63 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johansen
37
48
Kopitar
Johansen
85 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Johansen
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,723)
53.1% (11,017)
+1.5%
Power Play
59.2% (3,582)
56.2% (2,163)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,941)
50.5% (978)
-2.1%
On power play, Kopitar has a +3.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johansen shoots right. Kopitar is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (8,141).
Kopitar shoots left. Johansen is 54.3% vs left-shot opponents (9,788).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Johansen
Home
55.3% (11,643)
55.0% (7,001)
Away
53.7% (11,651)
51.7% (7,158)
By Period
Kopitar
Johansen
P1
54.5%
53.2%
P2
54.9%
53.9%
P3
53.9%
52.8%
OT
59.2%
58.2%
Final 5 min
54.9%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
Johansen
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 06:27 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 1 | 11:32 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 3 | 17:35 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 11:17 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Dec 3, 2023 | 1 | 11:03 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 3 | 04:59 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 10:54 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 06:18 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 2 | 03:47 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Oct 11, 2023 | 1 | 18:24 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:45 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 16:10 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 07:44 | Offensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:47 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 10:59 | Defensive | Ryan Johansen |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |