Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 58.5% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.8% vs Poehling 50.8% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 71.5%
Defensive zone
Poehling 80.3%
Neutral zone
Poehling 54.9%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
Kopitar
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Kopitar
Poehling
Last 9: Kopitar 4-5 Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
0
Kopitar
Poehling
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Kopitar
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
4
Kopitar
Poehling
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,085)
52.6% (622)
+4.3%
Power Play
68.8% (256)
58.3% (12)
+10.5%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (196)
39.8% (103)
+4.1%
On power play, Kopitar has a +10.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Kopitar is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Kopitar shoots left. Poehling is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (505).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Poehling
Home
58.4% (774)
53.2% (393)
Away
56.0% (763)
48.3% (344)
By Period
Kopitar
Poehling
P1
59.4%
50.9%
P2
56.8%
56.2%
P3
55.9%
46.1%
OT
45.5%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.2%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2024 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 13:36 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 10:39 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 19:25 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 19:16 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 19:11 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 15:04 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 10:05 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 09:16 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |