Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Kopitar wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Poehling shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Poehling 47.4% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 55.8%
Defensive zone
Poehling 86.8%
Neutral zone
Poehling 72.0%
Result
Ryan Poehling favored at 79.4%
20.6%
79.4%
Kopitar
Poehling
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Kopitar
Poehling
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Kopitar
Poehling
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Poehling
0
1
Kopitar
Poehling
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Poehling
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (711)
49.8% (626)
+5.1%
Power Play
64.3% (207)
58.3% (12)
+6.0%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (150)
38.2% (207)
+12.5%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poehling shoots left. Kopitar is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (724).
Kopitar shoots left. Poehling is 45.3% vs left-shot opponents (559).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Poehling
Home
56.8% (533)
47.3% (404)
Away
55.3% (535)
46.9% (441)
By Period
Kopitar
Poehling
P1
55.9%
53.5%
P2
57.1%
39.4%
P3
55.4%
49.1%
OT
55.6%
35.7%
Final 5 min
56.0%
51.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.1%
Poehling
58.0%▲
48.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2025 | 2 | 10:02 | Neutral | Ryan Poehling |
| Dec 27, 2025 | 1 | 10:52 | Defensive | Ryan Poehling |