Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Carrick on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Carrick 53.8% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 72.0%
Defensive zone
Carrick 77.0%
Neutral zone
Carrick 61.8%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 64.4%
35.6%
64.4%
Kopitar
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Kopitar
Carrick
Last 9: Kopitar 4-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Carrick
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
1
5
Kopitar
Carrick
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Carrick
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (711)
55.1% (439)
-0.2%
Power Play
64.3% (207)
66.7% (3)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (150)
49.1% (53)
+1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Kopitar is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Kopitar shoots left. Carrick is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (355).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Carrick
Home
56.8% (533)
58.2% (225)
Away
55.3% (535)
51.5% (270)
By Period
Kopitar
Carrick
P1
55.9%
56.7%
P2
57.1%
52.8%
P3
55.4%
54.4%
Final 5 min
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.1%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 12:11 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 14:54 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |