Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Kopitar wins 53.6% vs right-shot opponents — Carrick shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.4% vs Carrick 49.5% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Carrick 64.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 80.8%
Neutral zone
Carrick 75.3%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 75.3%
24.7%
75.3%
Kopitar
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kopitar
Carrick
Last 5: Kopitar 1-4 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
1
Kopitar
Carrick
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Carrick
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
0
2
Kopitar
Carrick
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,070)
48.9% (352)
+8.7%
Power Play
60.6% (264)
81.3% (16)
-20.7%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (175)
42.2% (45)
+4.7%
On power play, Carrick has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Kopitar is 53.6% vs right-shot opponents (593).
Kopitar shoots left. Carrick is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Carrick
Home
57.2% (778)
46.9% (192)
Away
56.5% (731)
51.6% (221)
By Period
Kopitar
Carrick
P1
56.3%
48.1%
P2
57.1%
50.0%
P3
57.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
57.6%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.9%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 16:47 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2022 | 1 | 14:08 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 3 | 01:07 | Offensive | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 08:50 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 30, 2021 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |