Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Carrick 52.1% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Carrick leads 21-20 in 41 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 73.4%
Defensive zone
Carrick 78.9%
Neutral zone
Carrick 60.1%
Result
Sam Carrick favored at 52.6%
47.4%
52.6%
Kopitar
Carrick
Head-to-Head Record
20
-
21
(41 meetings)
20
21
Kopitar
Carrick
Last 10: Kopitar 5-5 Carrick
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
13
4
Kopitar
Carrick
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Carrick
4
10
Kopitar
Carrick
14 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Carrick
3
7
Kopitar
Carrick
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Carrick
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,723)
52.1% (2,513)
+2.5%
Power Play
59.2% (3,582)
61.3% (75)
-2.1%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,941)
50.7% (430)
-2.3%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carrick shoots right. Kopitar is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (8,141).
Kopitar shoots left. Carrick is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,179).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Carrick
Home
55.3% (11,643)
51.2% (1,441)
Away
53.7% (11,651)
53.0% (1,577)
By Period
Kopitar
Carrick
P1
54.5%
51.8%
P2
54.9%
52.2%
P3
53.9%
52.4%
Final 5 min
54.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
Carrick
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 12:11 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 10:36 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 3 | 02:46 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 18:05 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 11:19 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 11:15 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 2 | 02:19 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 14:54 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 21, 2026 | 1 | 09:53 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 3 | 16:21 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 14, 2024 | 2 | 12:17 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 06:02 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 16:43 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 13:21 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 13:13 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 08:36 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 00:37 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 06:21 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Carrick |
| Nov 24, 2023 | 2 | 14:49 | Defensive | Sam Carrick |