Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lafferty on defensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Lafferty 50.9% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Lafferty leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Kopitar 64.0%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 75.3%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 56.2%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Kopitar
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Kopitar
Lafferty
Last 10: Kopitar 5-5 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Lafferty
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
1
5
Kopitar
Lafferty
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
4
1
Kopitar
Lafferty
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
52.2% (366)
+4.2%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
60.0% (15)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
46.2% (104)
+1.4%
On even strength, Kopitar has a +4.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Kopitar is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (583).
Kopitar shoots left. Lafferty is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (363).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Lafferty
Home
56.3% (783)
53.1% (258)
Away
55.5% (825)
48.9% (227)
By Period
Kopitar
Lafferty
P1
57.9%
52.5%
P2
54.5%
49.7%
P3
55.2%
51.3%
OT
57.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
55.9%
49.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 07:34 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 14:33 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 3 | 01:41 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 19:01 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 08:40 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 19:38 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 10, 2022 | 1 | 11:10 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 14:08 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 03:27 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 13:04 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |