Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Kopitar wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Lafferty shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.8% vs Lafferty 50.4% (+6.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 56.9%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 57.6%
Neutral zone
Lafferty 56.8%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 53.6%
46.4%
53.6%
Kopitar
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
2
(4 meetings)
2
2
Kopitar
Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Lafferty
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Kopitar
Lafferty
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Lafferty
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,085)
50.7% (144)
+6.2%
Power Play
68.8% (256)
50.0% (2)
+18.8%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (196)
50.0% (10)
-6.1%
On power play, Kopitar has a +18.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Kopitar is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (508).
Kopitar shoots left. Lafferty is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Lafferty
Home
58.4% (774)
53.2% (62)
Away
56.0% (763)
48.9% (94)
By Period
Kopitar
Lafferty
P1
59.4%
53.3%
P2
56.8%
46.7%
P3
55.9%
52.8%
Final 5 min
54.9%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.2%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 20, 2024 | 2 | 04:34 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 16:55 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 1 | 11:20 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |