Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 59.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.4% vs Kuraly 49.5% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 77.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 81.6%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 55.6%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 50.4%
50.4%
49.6%
Kopitar
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Kopitar
Kuraly
Last 9: Kopitar 4-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
1
Kopitar
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
3
Kopitar
Kuraly
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kopitar
Kuraly
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
57.6% (1,070)
52.3% (982)
+5.3%
Power Play
60.6% (264)
41.9% (43)
+18.7%
Penalty Kill
46.9% (175)
39.2% (245)
+7.7%
On power play, Kopitar has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Kopitar is 59.0% vs left-shot opponents (916).
Kopitar shoots left. Kuraly is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (859).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Kuraly
Home
57.2% (778)
50.3% (680)
Away
56.5% (731)
48.5% (590)
By Period
Kopitar
Kuraly
P1
56.3%
49.5%
P2
57.1%
49.6%
P3
57.0%
49.0%
OT
59.5%
57.1%
Final 5 min
57.6%
47.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.9%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 18:43 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 08:07 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 05:45 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 3 | 05:17 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 2 | 17:14 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Apr 16, 2022 | 1 | 13:06 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 4, 2022 | OT | 01:52 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 4, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 4, 2022 | 1 | 06:41 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |