Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuraly on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 58.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kuraly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 56.8% vs Kuraly 53.7% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 58.9%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 78.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 65.6%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Kopitar
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kopitar
Kuraly
Last 5: Kopitar 1-4 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
2
Kopitar
Kuraly
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Kopitar
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Kopitar
Kuraly
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (1,085)
55.3% (515)
+1.6%
Power Play
68.8% (256)
55.6% (9)
+13.2%
Penalty Kill
43.9% (196)
44.8% (58)
-0.9%
On power play, Kopitar has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Kopitar is 58.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,029).
Kopitar shoots left. Kuraly is 57.6% vs left-shot opponents (387).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Kuraly
Home
58.4% (774)
57.3% (293)
Away
56.0% (763)
51.2% (289)
By Period
Kopitar
Kuraly
P1
59.4%
53.8%
P2
56.8%
51.5%
P3
55.9%
57.6%
OT
45.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
54.9%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
57.2%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 3 | 12:09 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 25, 2025 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 05:08 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 3 | 01:20 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 9, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |