Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarvis on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Jarvis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Jarvis 45.8% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 78.5%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 50.4%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 74.1%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 61.6%
61.6%
38.4%
Kopitar
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kopitar
Jarvis
Last 5: Kopitar 3-2 Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Jarvis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
1
2
Kopitar
Jarvis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
46.2% (171)
+10.2%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
51.9% (54)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
39.4% (127)
+6.1%
On even strength, Kopitar has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Kopitar is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (536).
Kopitar shoots left. Jarvis is 44.6% vs left-shot opponents (303).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Jarvis
Home
56.1% (786)
46.1% (204)
Away
54.0% (774)
42.6% (148)
By Period
Kopitar
Jarvis
P1
56.2%
42.5%
P2
55.4%
42.9%
P3
53.0%
48.7%
Final 5 min
56.1%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 17:41 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |