Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +13.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Jarvis on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Jarvis 42.6% (+13.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 70.3%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 76.6%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 72.7%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Kopitar
Jarvis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Kopitar
Jarvis
Last 5: Kopitar 3-2 Jarvis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Jarvis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jarvis
1
2
Kopitar
Jarvis
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Jarvis
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,723)
42.0% (352)
+12.6%
Power Play
59.2% (3,582)
43.7% (119)
+15.5%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,941)
38.2% (157)
+10.2%
On power play, Kopitar has a +15.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jarvis shoots right. Kopitar is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (8,141).
Kopitar shoots left. Jarvis is 40.1% vs left-shot opponents (514).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Jarvis
Home
55.3% (11,643)
43.8% (336)
Away
53.7% (11,651)
38.7% (292)
By Period
Kopitar
Jarvis
P1
54.5%
39.7%
P2
54.9%
39.5%
P3
53.9%
46.1%
OT
59.2%
33.3%
Final 5 min
54.9%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
Jarvis
40.0%▲
38.0%
41.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 18:52 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 2 | 11:14 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 17:41 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 12:12 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 15, 2024 | 1 | 09:07 | Defensive | Seth Jarvis |