Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Johnson 45.7% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnson 67.9%
Defensive zone
Johnson 74.2%
Neutral zone
Johnson 73.5%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 71.0%
29.0%
71.0%
Kopitar
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Kopitar
Johnson
Last 8: Kopitar 3-5 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
0
4
Kopitar
Johnson
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Johnson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Johnson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
44.6% (285)
+11.8%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
46.7% (60)
+10.6%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
16.7% (6)
+28.8%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +28.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Kopitar is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (536).
Kopitar shoots left. Johnson is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Johnson
Home
56.1% (786)
50.8% (179)
Away
54.0% (774)
37.8% (172)
By Period
Kopitar
Johnson
P1
56.2%
41.3%
P2
55.4%
41.8%
P3
53.0%
49.6%
OT
70.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |