Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnson on defensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.5% vs Johnson 49.7% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Johnson leads 24-21 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Johnson 69.9%
Defensive zone
Johnson 69.3%
Neutral zone
Johnson 69.9%
Result
Tyler Johnson favored at 69.6%
30.4%
69.6%
Kopitar
Johnson
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
24
(45 meetings)
21
24
Kopitar
Johnson
Last 10: Kopitar 4-6 Johnson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
7
8
Kopitar
Johnson
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnson
9
12
Kopitar
Johnson
21 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
5
4
Kopitar
Johnson
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Johnson
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (16,723)
49.8% (5,396)
+4.8%
Power Play
59.2% (3,582)
54.6% (885)
+4.6%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (2,941)
42.3% (707)
+6.1%
On penalty kill, Kopitar has a +6.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnson shoots right. Kopitar is 52.7% vs right-shot opponents (8,141).
Kopitar shoots left. Johnson is 49.6% vs left-shot opponents (4,785).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Johnson
Home
55.3% (11,643)
52.5% (3,460)
Away
53.7% (11,651)
46.8% (3,528)
By Period
Kopitar
Johnson
P1
54.5%
50.1%
P2
54.9%
50.6%
P3
53.9%
48.4%
OT
59.2%
42.5%
Final 5 min
54.9%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
54.5%
Johnson
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 10:27 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 3 | 02:06 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 3 | 09:32 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 1 | 18:43 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 1 | 15:35 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Mar 15, 2024 | 1 | 11:09 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 3 | 11:13 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 13:58 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 1 | 13:12 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 11:06 | Neutral | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 08:02 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 25, 2019 | 3 | 00:18 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Jan 3, 2019 | 1 | 19:33 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 3 | 00:08 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 10, 2018 | 1 | 08:51 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 3 | 14:36 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 9, 2017 | 1 | 06:05 | Offensive | Tyler Johnson |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 03:38 | Defensive | Tyler Johnson |