Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Johnston on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.5% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Johnston 48.5% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Johnston 56.0%
Defensive zone
Johnston 56.5%
Neutral zone
Johnston 58.0%
Result
Wyatt Johnston favored at 56.6%
43.4%
56.6%
Kopitar
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Kopitar
Johnston
Last 6: Kopitar 3-3 Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
0
Kopitar
Johnston
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
1
2
Kopitar
Johnston
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Kopitar
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (711)
47.8% (623)
+7.1%
Power Play
64.3% (207)
50.8% (63)
+13.5%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (150)
51.4% (35)
-0.7%
On power play, Kopitar has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Kopitar is 54.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Kopitar shoots left. Johnston is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (535).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Johnston
Home
56.8% (533)
47.6% (351)
Away
55.3% (535)
48.9% (370)
By Period
Kopitar
Johnston
P1
55.9%
49.6%
P2
57.1%
47.3%
P3
55.4%
48.0%
OT
55.6%
46.7%
Final 5 min
56.0%
48.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
56.1%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
48.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 16:11 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 10:52 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 3 | 10:38 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Dec 15, 2025 | 2 | 17:08 | Defensive | Anze Kopitar |