Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 56.0% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 54.8% vs Johnston 50.1% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 83.7%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 53.5%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 76.8%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 76.1%
76.1%
23.9%
Kopitar
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Kopitar
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
3
0
Kopitar
Johnston
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Johnston
0
1
Kopitar
Johnston
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,054)
50.7% (552)
+5.7%
Power Play
57.3% (293)
61.5% (13)
-4.2%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (213)
43.5% (69)
+2.0%
On even strength, Kopitar has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Kopitar is 56.0% vs right-shot opponents (536).
Kopitar shoots left. Johnston is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (498).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Johnston
Home
56.1% (786)
50.3% (342)
Away
54.0% (774)
50.0% (292)
By Period
Kopitar
Johnston
P1
56.2%
54.4%
P2
55.4%
47.2%
P3
53.0%
49.4%
OT
70.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
56.1%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2024 | 2 | 02:11 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:22 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |