Scouting Report
Anze Kopitar holds a +12.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kopitar on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kopitar wins 54.2% vs right-shot opponents — Johnston shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kopitar 55.6% vs Johnston 44.8% (+12.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kopitar 85.5%
Defensive zone
Kopitar 71.8%
Neutral zone
Kopitar 77.4%
Result
Anze Kopitar favored at 79.4%
79.4%
20.6%
Kopitar
Johnston
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Kopitar
Johnston
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kopitar
1
0
Kopitar
Johnston
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kopitar
2
1
Kopitar
Johnston
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kopitar
Johnston
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (1,114)
42.5% (318)
+13.9%
Power Play
60.1% (288)
55.6% (9)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (206)
62.5% (8)
-14.9%
On penalty kill, Johnston has a +14.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Johnston shoots right. Kopitar is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (583).
Kopitar shoots left. Johnston is 40.6% vs left-shot opponents (229).
Home / Away
Kopitar
Johnston
Home
56.3% (783)
40.5% (168)
Away
55.5% (825)
46.1% (167)
By Period
Kopitar
Johnston
P1
57.9%
46.9%
P2
54.5%
40.4%
P3
55.2%
41.9%
OT
57.6%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
47.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kopitar
56.0%▲
52.5%
55.9%
Johnston
52.0%▲
50.5%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 15:48 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 3 | 00:18 | Neutral | Wyatt Johnston |
| Jan 3, 2023 | 1 | 16:46 | Neutral | Anze Kopitar |
| Nov 1, 2022 | 3 | 11:18 | Offensive | Anze Kopitar |