Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hyry wins 55.8% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hyry 53.3% vs Hertl 57.2% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 69.5%
Defensive zone
Hyry 76.1%
Neutral zone
Hyry 62.3%
Result
Arttu Hyry favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Hyry
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Hyry
Hertl
Last 10: Hyry 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
4
Hyry
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hyry
3
0
Hyry
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Hyry
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hyry
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
59.5% (79)
58.1% (823)
+1.4%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
62.9% (35)
-18.5%
On penalty kill, Hertl has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Hyry is 55.8% vs left-shot opponents (77).
Hyry shoots right. Hertl is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (433).
Home / Away
Hyry
Hertl
Home
54.3% (70)
59.7% (561)
Away
63.0% (27)
55.9% (562)
By Period
Hyry
Hertl
P1
56.5%
51.6%
P2
58.3%
63.8%
P3
55.3%
58.6%
Final 5 min
72.0%
58.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hyry
48.0%▼
58.4%
56.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Arttu Hyry |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Arttu Hyry |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 16:48 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 10:55 | Neutral | Arttu Hyry |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Arttu Hyry |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |