Scouting Report
Arttu Hyry holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Hyry wins 56.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Hyry 54.5% vs Hertl 54.2% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 61.3%
Defensive zone
Hyry 61.9%
Neutral zone
Hyry 56.3%
Result
Arttu Hyry favored at 50.9%
50.9%
49.1%
Hyry
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Hyry
Hertl
Last 10: Hyry 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
4
Hyry
Hertl
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hyry
3
0
Hyry
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
2
Hyry
Hertl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Hyry
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (95)
53.8% (8,268)
+7.3%
Penalty Kill
44.4% (18)
46.3% (806)
-1.9%
On even strength, Hyry has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Hyry is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (90).
Hyry shoots right. Hertl is 56.8% vs right-shot opponents (4,133).
Home / Away
Hyry
Hertl
Home
57.0% (79)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
61.8% (34)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
Hyry
Hertl
P1
60.0%
53.6%
P2
58.5%
54.1%
P3
57.1%
55.3%
Final 5 min
67.9%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Hyry
48.0%▼
58.4%
58.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Arttu Hyry |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 07:40 | Defensive | Arttu Hyry |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 02:19 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 16:48 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 10:55 | Neutral | Arttu Hyry |
| Mar 22, 2026 | 1 | 06:40 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 3 | 01:27 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 14:39 | Defensive | Arttu Hyry |
| Mar 10, 2026 | 2 | 11:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |