Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Lehkonen wins 31.8% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehkonen 45.0% vs Bailey 44.3% (-11.5%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 59.7%
Defensive zone
Lehkonen 51.9%
Neutral zone
Bailey 52.7%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 53.5%
46.5%
53.5%
Lehkonen
Bailey
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehkonen
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
33.3% (24)
39.8% (83)
-6.5%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
27.3% (22)
-27.3%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (4)
80.0% (5)
-80.0%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +80.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Lehkonen is 31.8% vs left-shot opponents (22).
Lehkonen shoots left. Bailey is 46.7% vs left-shot opponents (60).
Home / Away
Lehkonen
Bailey
Home
37.5% (16)
33.3% (48)
Away
15.4% (13)
43.5% (62)
By Period
Lehkonen
Bailey
P1
37.5%
33.3%
P2
44.4%
47.2%
P3
8.3%
39.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehkonen
30.0%▼
31.5%
27.6%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
39.1%