Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +24.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lehkonen 43.9% vs Bailey 45.9% (-24.3%)
Offensive zone
Bailey 65.5%
Defensive zone
Lehkonen 63.3%
Neutral zone
Bailey 61.5%
Result
Josh Bailey favored at 54.6%
45.4%
54.6%
Lehkonen
Bailey
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lehkonen
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (5)
41.7% (84)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
11.1% (18)
60.0% (5)
-48.9%
On penalty kill, Bailey has a +48.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Lehkonen is 21.1% vs left-shot opponents (19).
Lehkonen shoots left. Bailey is 41.4% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Lehkonen
Bailey
Home
10.0% (10)
37.9% (58)
Away
23.1% (13)
47.4% (38)
By Period
Lehkonen
Bailey
P1
0.0%
47.2%
P2
18.2%
41.7%
P3
20.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
25.0%
36.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lehkonen
30.0%▼
31.5%
17.4%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
41.7%