Austin Czarnik vs Frederick Gaudreau
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.0% vs 49.9%). Look for Gaudreau on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Czarnik wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 49.3% vs Gaudreau 49.9% (-0.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Czarnik 64.9%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 67.7%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 52.5%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Czarnik
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Czarnik
Gaudreau
Last 6: Czarnik 3-3 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Czarnik
Gaudreau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Czarnik
2
0
Czarnik
Gaudreau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
2
Czarnik
Gaudreau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (199)
49.0% (408)
-0.8%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
68.0% (25)
+12.0%
On power play, Czarnik has a +12.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Czarnik is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (54).
Czarnik shoots right. Gaudreau is 50.0% vs right-shot opponents (130).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Gaudreau
Home
48.6% (105)
50.8% (319)
Away
49.5% (99)
48.7% (228)
By Period
Czarnik
Gaudreau
P1
53.6%
53.4%
P2
47.1%
47.4%
P3
46.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 04:42 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 04:35 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 06:21 | Defensive | Austin Czarnik |