Austin Czarnik vs Frederick Gaudreau
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Frederick Gaudreau holds a +3.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Gaudreau on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Czarnik wins 45.2% vs right-shot opponents — Gaudreau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 46.0% vs Gaudreau 48.6% (-3.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Czarnik 67.3%
Defensive zone
Gaudreau 70.7%
Neutral zone
Gaudreau 50.3%
Result
Frederick Gaudreau favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Czarnik
Gaudreau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Czarnik
Gaudreau
Last 6: Czarnik 3-3 Gaudreau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
0
1
Czarnik
Gaudreau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Czarnik
2
0
Czarnik
Gaudreau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gaudreau
1
2
Czarnik
Gaudreau
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Gaudreau
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (605)
48.7% (3,745)
-2.9%
Power Play
42.2% (45)
53.9% (219)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
46.6% (789)
-9.1%
On power play, Gaudreau has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaudreau shoots right. Czarnik is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (188).
Czarnik shoots right. Gaudreau is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,280).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Gaudreau
Home
45.1% (335)
49.2% (2,437)
Away
45.6% (331)
47.8% (2,316)
By Period
Czarnik
Gaudreau
P1
47.8%
49.7%
P2
47.4%
47.3%
P3
40.6%
49.1%
OT
0.0%
36.7%
Final 5 min
43.1%
47.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
Gaudreau
34.0%▼
44.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 04:42 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 04:35 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frederick Gaudreau |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 15:46 | Defensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 06:21 | Defensive | Austin Czarnik |