Scouting Report
Austin Czarnik holds a +22.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Czarnik on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 50.9% vs Hughes 37.4% (+22.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Czarnik 66.5%
Defensive zone
Czarnik 79.9%
Neutral zone
Czarnik 87.6%
Result
Austin Czarnik favored at 79.2%
79.2%
20.8%
Czarnik
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Czarnik
Hughes
Last 5: Czarnik 4-1 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Czarnik
Hughes
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Czarnik
3
0
Czarnik
Hughes
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
60.0% (10)
35.7% (569)
+24.3%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
33.3% (36)
+16.7%
On even strength, Czarnik has a +24.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Czarnik is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (9).
Czarnik shoots right. Hughes is 39.5% vs right-shot opponents (306).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Hughes
Home
0.0% (1)
37.8% (333)
Away
63.6% (11)
32.4% (278)
By Period
Czarnik
Hughes
P1
100.0%
38.8%
P2
33.3%
28.3%
P3
50.0%
38.6%
Final 5 min
0.0%
31.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
58.3%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
35.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 17:29 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 14:44 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 3 | 14:39 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 13:27 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 14, 2021 | 1 | 04:18 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |