Scouting Report
Austin Czarnik holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 49.3% vs Hughes 40.3% (+11.8%)
Offensive zone
Hughes 77.1%
Defensive zone
Czarnik 72.8%
Neutral zone
Czarnik 51.8%
Result
Jack Hughes favored at 50.8%
49.2%
50.8%
Czarnik
Hughes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (199)
35.6% (281)
+12.6%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
50.0% (36)
+30.0%
On power play, Czarnik has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Czarnik is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Czarnik shoots right. Hughes is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Hughes
Home
48.6% (105)
38.4% (198)
Away
49.5% (99)
35.3% (119)
By Period
Czarnik
Hughes
P1
53.6%
44.3%
P2
47.1%
34.2%
P3
46.2%
34.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
40.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Hughes
38.0%▲
36.0%
37.2%