Scouting Report
Jake Evans holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 45.9% vs Evans 49.8% (-10.8%)
Offensive zone
Czarnik 69.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 74.0%
Neutral zone
Evans 54.4%
Result
Jake Evans favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Czarnik
Evans
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (57)
51.3% (739)
-12.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
53.3% (15)
-53.3%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
43.0% (172)
+57.0%
On penalty kill, Czarnik has a +57.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Czarnik is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (18).
Czarnik shoots right. Evans is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (259).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Evans
Home
36.2% (47)
52.1% (503)
Away
50.0% (12)
47.0% (423)
By Period
Czarnik
Evans
P1
50.0%
50.5%
P2
31.8%
47.7%
P3
37.5%
51.3%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
21.4%
51.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
39.0%
Evans
54.0%▼
60.5%
49.8%