Scouting Report
Jeff Carter holds a +18.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 45.9% vs Carter 56.4% (-18.0%)
Offensive zone
Carter 53.3%
Defensive zone
Carter 69.8%
Neutral zone
Carter 54.4%
Result
Jeff Carter favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Czarnik
Carter
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Carter
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (57)
57.9% (885)
-19.3%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
61.7% (133)
-61.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
45.4% (119)
+54.6%
On power play, Carter has a +61.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Carter shoots right. Czarnik is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (18).
Czarnik shoots right. Carter is 57.4% vs right-shot opponents (357).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Carter
Home
36.2% (47)
58.2% (543)
Away
50.0% (12)
55.9% (594)
By Period
Czarnik
Carter
P1
50.0%
57.5%
P2
31.8%
57.1%
P3
37.5%
55.8%
OT
0.0%
68.2%
Final 5 min
21.4%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
39.0%
Carter
62.0%▬
61.5%
57.0%