Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Czarnik wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 45.8% vs Eller 53.3% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Czarnik 66.3%
Defensive zone
Eller 72.9%
Neutral zone
Eller 54.8%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Czarnik
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Czarnik
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Czarnik
1
0
Czarnik
Eller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
0
1
Czarnik
Eller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (156)
53.8% (865)
-10.2%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
57.1% (21)
-57.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
52.6% (137)
-19.3%
On power play, Eller has a +57.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Czarnik is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Czarnik shoots right. Eller is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Eller
Home
46.1% (76)
56.4% (486)
Away
40.5% (84)
51.2% (537)
By Period
Czarnik
Eller
P1
44.2%
55.1%
P2
41.2%
55.3%
P3
44.6%
51.7%
OT
0.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
37.1%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
43.1%
Eller
50.0%▼
54.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2023 | 3 | 13:16 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 18, 2023 | 2 | 02:07 | Defensive | Lars Eller |