Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 45.9% vs Gagner 47.5% (-7.7%)
Offensive zone
Czarnik 62.7%
Defensive zone
Gagner 67.6%
Neutral zone
Gagner 52.6%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 52.5%
47.5%
52.5%
Czarnik
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (57)
51.3% (158)
-12.7%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
66.7% (36)
-66.7%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
33.6% (110)
+66.4%
On power play, Gagner has a +66.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Czarnik is 38.9% vs right-shot opponents (18).
Czarnik shoots right. Gagner is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (64).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Gagner
Home
36.2% (47)
53.2% (154)
Away
50.0% (12)
40.0% (150)
By Period
Czarnik
Gagner
P1
50.0%
35.6%
P2
31.8%
52.7%
P3
37.5%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
21.4%
34.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
39.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.7%