Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +13.5% FO% edge overall. Czarnik wins 46.3% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 49.3% vs Gagner 52.4% (-13.5%)
Offensive zone
Gagner 56.9%
Defensive zone
Czarnik 72.9%
Neutral zone
Czarnik 51.2%
Result
Austin Czarnik favored at 55.8%
55.8%
44.2%
Czarnik
Gagner
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (199)
76.5% (17)
-28.3%
Power Play
80.0% (5)
28.6% (7)
+51.4%
On power play, Czarnik has a +51.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Czarnik is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (54).
Czarnik shoots right. Gagner is 66.7% vs right-shot opponents (6).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Gagner
Home
48.6% (105)
75.0% (16)
Away
49.5% (99)
37.5% (8)
By Period
Czarnik
Gagner
P1
53.6%
25.0%
P2
47.1%
64.3%
P3
46.2%
83.3%
Final 5 min
49.1%
70.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
62.5%