Scouting Report
Austin Czarnik holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Czarnik on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Czarnik wins 45.4% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 46.0% vs Jost 40.5% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Czarnik leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Czarnik 75.1%
Defensive zone
Czarnik 52.0%
Neutral zone
Czarnik 64.0%
Result
Austin Czarnik favored at 62.8%
62.8%
37.2%
Czarnik
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Czarnik
Jost
Last 10: Czarnik 5-5 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
1
2
Czarnik
Jost
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Czarnik
Jost
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Czarnik
4
1
Czarnik
Jost
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
45.8% (605)
41.0% (2,014)
+4.8%
Power Play
42.2% (45)
34.2% (73)
+8.0%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (16)
35.3% (255)
+2.2%
On power play, Czarnik has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Czarnik is 45.4% vs left-shot opponents (478).
Czarnik shoots right. Jost is 39.4% vs right-shot opponents (876).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Jost
Home
45.1% (335)
41.9% (1,238)
Away
45.6% (331)
38.1% (1,104)
By Period
Czarnik
Jost
P1
47.8%
38.5%
P2
47.4%
41.2%
P3
40.6%
40.9%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
43.1%
38.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
45.3%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:52 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 04:32 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 05:04 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 1 | 12:22 | Offensive | Austin Czarnik |