Scouting Report
Austin Czarnik holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Czarnik wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Jost shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 45.8% vs Jost 40.8% (+4.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Czarnik 79.0%
Defensive zone
Czarnik 58.1%
Neutral zone
Czarnik 68.4%
Result
Austin Czarnik favored at 68.5%
68.5%
31.5%
Czarnik
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Czarnik
Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Czarnik
Jost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Czarnik
1
0
Czarnik
Jost
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Czarnik
2
0
Czarnik
Jost
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
43.6% (156)
41.8% (388)
+1.8%
Power Play
0.0% (1)
0.0% (3)
+0.0%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (3)
21.7% (60)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Czarnik has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Czarnik is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (113).
Czarnik shoots right. Jost is 39.3% vs right-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Jost
Home
46.1% (76)
42.6% (230)
Away
40.5% (84)
34.8% (221)
By Period
Czarnik
Jost
P1
44.2%
43.2%
P2
41.2%
38.2%
P3
44.6%
34.6%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
37.1%
40.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
43.1%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 04:32 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 02:27 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Austin Czarnik |
| Apr 6, 2023 | 1 | 05:04 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |