Scouting Report
Austin Czarnik holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Jost on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Czarnik 49.3% vs Jost 45.0% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Jost 62.7%
Defensive zone
Jost 51.4%
Neutral zone
Jost 57.1%
Result
Tyson Jost favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Czarnik
Jost
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Czarnik
Jost
Last 7: Czarnik 3-4 Jost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Jost
0
1
Czarnik
Jost
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Jost
1
2
Czarnik
Jost
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Czarnik
2
1
Czarnik
Jost
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Czarnik
Jost
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (199)
43.3% (194)
+4.9%
On even strength, Czarnik has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Jost shoots left. Czarnik is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (150).
Czarnik shoots right. Jost is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (73).
Home / Away
Czarnik
Jost
Home
48.6% (105)
39.7% (78)
Away
49.5% (99)
44.4% (124)
By Period
Czarnik
Jost
P1
53.6%
40.5%
P2
47.1%
43.2%
P3
46.2%
44.9%
Final 5 min
49.1%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Czarnik
46.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Jost
38.0%▼
41.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2024 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Tyson Jost |
| Apr 7, 2024 | 2 | 17:47 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 3 | 01:32 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:52 | Neutral | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Tyson Jost |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 11:22 | Neutral | Austin Czarnik |
| Mar 16, 2024 | 1 | 06:24 | Defensive | Austin Czarnik |