Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Watson 49.6% vs Stastny 56.3% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stastny 66.8%
Defensive zone
Stastny 53.4%
Neutral zone
Watson 55.3%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 66.8%
33.2%
66.8%
Watson
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Watson
Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
1
Watson
Stastny
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Watson
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (10)
57.5% (412)
-17.5%
Penalty Kill
60.0% (5)
44.4% (9)
+15.6%
On even strength, Stastny has a +17.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Watson is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (12).
Watson shoots right. Stastny is 59.2% vs right-shot opponents (196).
Home / Away
Watson
Stastny
Home
60.0% (5)
58.3% (276)
Away
40.0% (10)
56.7% (210)
By Period
Watson
Stastny
P1
50.0%
63.7%
P2
66.7%
57.3%
P3
0.0%
50.4%
Final 5 min
40.0%
56.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Watson
38.0%▼
44.5%
46.7%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
57.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |