Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Watson 46.0% vs Stastny 55.1% (-10.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Watson 52.5%
Defensive zone
Watson 65.7%
Neutral zone
Watson 60.3%
Result
Austin Watson favored at 56.9%
56.9%
43.1%
Watson
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Watson
Stastny
Last 6: Watson 2-4 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
0
4
Watson
Stastny
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Watson
2
0
Watson
Stastny
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Watson
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
46.2% (182)
54.6% (10,616)
-8.4%
Power Play
33.3% (6)
59.1% (1,994)
-25.8%
Penalty Kill
38.3% (47)
52.9% (1,119)
-14.6%
On power play, Stastny has a +25.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Watson is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Watson shoots right. Stastny is 58.4% vs right-shot opponents (4,907).
Home / Away
Watson
Stastny
Home
44.2% (113)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
44.3% (122)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Watson
Stastny
P1
40.5%
56.3%
P2
46.2%
55.4%
P3
46.6%
53.5%
Final 5 min
45.3%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Watson
38.0%▼
44.5%
44.3%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2023 | 1 | 04:12 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 14:11 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 10:27 | Defensive | Austin Watson |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 1 | 12:28 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 2 | 14:22 | Defensive | Austin Watson |
| Jan 19, 2021 | 1 | 07:09 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |