Auston Matthews vs Brendan Gaunce
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gaunce shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 57.9% vs Gaunce 54.4% (+1.9%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 60.8%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 58.7%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 51.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 50.1%
50.1%
49.9%
Matthews
Gaunce
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Gaunce
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (715)
58.1% (155)
+0.5%
Power Play
65.7% (35)
0.0% (1)
+65.7%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (71)
52.0% (25)
+5.7%
On power play, Matthews has a +65.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaunce shoots left. Matthews is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Matthews shoots left. Gaunce is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Matthews
Gaunce
Home
60.0% (475)
54.8% (93)
Away
57.2% (346)
59.1% (88)
By Period
Matthews
Gaunce
P1
58.3%
62.3%
P2
58.4%
48.1%
P3
59.4%
59.5%
Final 5 min
56.7%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
64.0%▲
60.5%
58.8%
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
56.9%