Auston Matthews vs Brendan Gaunce
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.8%). Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gaunce shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.2% vs Gaunce 52.5% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 78.8%
Defensive zone
Matthews 56.8%
Neutral zone
Matthews 57.1%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Matthews
Gaunce
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
3
(9 meetings)
6
3
Matthews
Gaunce
Last 9: Matthews 6-3 Gaunce
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Gaunce
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Gaunce
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
2
Matthews
Gaunce
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Gaunce
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
54.1% (170)
-0.7%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
50.0% (2)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
50.0% (10)
-8.1%
On power play, Matthews has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaunce shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Gaunce is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Matthews
Gaunce
Home
56.5% (703)
51.4% (107)
Away
50.0% (616)
57.3% (75)
By Period
Matthews
Gaunce
P1
52.1%
63.4%
P2
54.0%
46.3%
P3
54.0%
55.4%
Final 5 min
54.6%
58.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.4%
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 14:37 | Defensive | Brendan Gaunce |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 11:24 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 08:00 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 04:32 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 19:05 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 18:54 | Neutral | Brendan Gaunce |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 18:52 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 29, 2023 | 2 | 04:49 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |