Auston Matthews vs Brendan Gaunce

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.4% vs 53.8%). Look for Matthews on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Matthews wins 53.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gaunce shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Matthews 53.2% vs Gaunce 52.5% (-0.4%)
H2H factor Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone Matthews 78.8%
Defensive zone Matthews 56.8%
Neutral zone Matthews 57.1%
Result Auston Matthews favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Matthews Gaunce
Head-to-Head Record
6 - 3 (9 meetings)
6
3
Matthews Gaunce
Last 9: Matthews 6-3 Gaunce

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews Gaunce
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews Gaunce
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
2
Matthews Gaunce
5 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Matthews
Gaunce
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (1,169)
54.1% (170)
-0.7%
Power Play
65.8% (76)
50.0% (2)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (74)
50.0% (10)
-8.1%
On power play, Matthews has a +15.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Gaunce shoots left. Matthews is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (841).
Matthews shoots left. Gaunce is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (137).
Home / Away
Matthews
Gaunce
Home
56.5% (703)
51.4% (107)
Away
50.0% (616)
57.3% (75)
By Period
Matthews
Gaunce
P1
52.1%
63.4%
P2
54.0%
46.3%
P3
54.0%
55.4%
Final 5 min
54.6%
58.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%
64.0%
53.4%
Gaunce
50.0%
56.5%
53.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Dec 29, 2023 3 14:37 Defensive Brendan Gaunce
Dec 29, 2023 3 11:24 Defensive Auston Matthews
Dec 29, 2023 3 08:00 Neutral Auston Matthews
Dec 29, 2023 3 04:32 Offensive Auston Matthews
Dec 29, 2023 3 00:00 Neutral Brendan Gaunce
Dec 29, 2023 2 19:05 Neutral Auston Matthews
Dec 29, 2023 2 18:54 Neutral Brendan Gaunce
Dec 29, 2023 2 18:52 Neutral Auston Matthews
Dec 29, 2023 2 04:49 Offensive Auston Matthews