Auston Matthews vs Brendan Gaunce
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gaunce shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 58.8% vs Gaunce 54.4% (+2.8%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 64.2%
Defensive zone
Gaunce 60.5%
Neutral zone
Gaunce 51.7%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Matthews
Gaunce
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Gaunce
Edge
Even Strength
59.8% (848)
58.1% (155)
+1.7%
Power Play
64.9% (37)
0.0% (1)
+64.9%
Penalty Kill
56.3% (87)
52.0% (25)
+4.3%
On power play, Matthews has a +64.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gaunce shoots left. Matthews is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (636).
Matthews shoots left. Gaunce is 56.2% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Matthews
Gaunce
Home
60.0% (520)
54.8% (93)
Away
59.3% (452)
59.1% (88)
By Period
Matthews
Gaunce
P1
60.2%
62.3%
P2
58.2%
48.1%
P3
60.4%
59.5%
Final 5 min
57.6%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
59.7%
Gaunce
50.0%▼
56.5%
56.9%