Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +6.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Eakin on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Eakin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 54.5% vs Eakin 48.7% (+6.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 89.5%
Defensive zone
Matthews 57.2%
Neutral zone
Matthews 74.4%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 71.3%
71.3%
28.7%
Matthews
Eakin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Matthews
Eakin
Last 7: Matthews 5-2 Eakin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Eakin
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eakin
1
2
Matthews
Eakin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
Eakin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Eakin
Edge
Even Strength
55.1% (856)
49.4% (508)
+5.7%
Power Play
54.3% (46)
47.8% (23)
+6.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (18)
44.5% (110)
+5.5%
On power play, Matthews has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eakin shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (578).
Matthews shoots left. Eakin is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (420).
Home / Away
Matthews
Eakin
Home
57.0% (440)
48.5% (330)
Away
53.1% (480)
48.6% (311)
By Period
Matthews
Eakin
P1
54.0%
45.8%
P2
55.1%
50.2%
P3
56.4%
50.0%
OT
42.9%
37.5%
Final 5 min
51.7%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
55.0%
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:07 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 08:08 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 04:13 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |