Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (56.2% vs 56.0%). Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Eakin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Eakin 55.4% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 82.7%
Defensive zone
Eakin 71.3%
Neutral zone
Eakin 51.4%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 67.4%
67.4%
32.6%
Matthews
Eakin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Matthews
Eakin
Last 8: Matthews 5-3 Eakin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
2
Matthews
Eakin
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Eakin
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Matthews
Eakin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Eakin
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
56.5% (722)
-0.2%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
69.2% (26)
-11.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
50.0% (112)
+0.0%
On power play, Eakin has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eakin shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Eakin is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (548).
Home / Away
Matthews
Eakin
Home
60.7% (572)
57.8% (419)
Away
52.4% (657)
54.4% (441)
By Period
Matthews
Eakin
P1
60.3%
53.8%
P2
55.6%
55.6%
P3
53.3%
57.5%
OT
45.0%
71.4%
Final 5 min
54.5%
54.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
56.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 1 | 12:25 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 1 | 02:26 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |