Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 12 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Eakin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Eakin 50.7% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 15-12 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 78.1%
Defensive zone
Eakin 53.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 65.2%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Matthews
Eakin
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
12
(27 meetings)
15
12
Matthews
Eakin
Last 10: Matthews 7-3 Eakin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
9
3
Matthews
Eakin
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eakin
2
7
Matthews
Eakin
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Matthews
4
2
Matthews
Eakin
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Eakin
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
51.3% (7,633)
+2.7%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
50.1% (483)
+5.4%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
47.2% (1,113)
+2.6%
On power play, Matthews has a +5.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eakin shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Eakin is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (5,831).
Home / Away
Matthews
Eakin
Home
56.3% (5,065)
51.7% (4,680)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
49.7% (4,549)
By Period
Matthews
Eakin
P1
55.5%
49.6%
P2
53.3%
51.2%
P3
52.8%
51.3%
OT
56.6%
47.5%
Final 5 min
54.1%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Eakin
60.0%▲
55.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 05:57 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 1 | 12:25 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Mar 2, 2022 | 1 | 02:26 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 2 | 14:50 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 19:40 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 14:09 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 13, 2021 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 01:18 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 3 | 01:06 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 2 | 08:07 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 19, 2019 | 1 | 17:38 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 16:12 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 08:08 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 04:13 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 04:12 | Neutral | Cody Eakin |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 11:23 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 02:31 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 3 | 18:27 | Offensive | Cody Eakin |
| Feb 7, 2017 | 2 | 08:36 | Defensive | Cody Eakin |