Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Matthews on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Matthews wins 53.9% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 53.9% vs Grant 52.2% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Matthews leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Matthews 91.5%
Defensive zone
Grant 57.3%
Neutral zone
Matthews 67.4%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 72.4%
72.4%
27.6%
Matthews
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Matthews
Grant
Last 10: Matthews 7-3 Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
5
2
Matthews
Grant
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
3
1
Matthews
Grant
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
1
2
Matthews
Grant
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
54.0% (9,298)
53.7% (2,864)
+0.3%
Power Play
55.5% (530)
61.7% (175)
-6.2%
Penalty Kill
49.8% (482)
46.0% (922)
+3.8%
On power play, Grant has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Matthews is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (6,605).
Matthews shoots left. Grant is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,612).
Home / Away
Matthews
Grant
Home
56.3% (5,065)
54.3% (1,956)
Away
51.5% (5,245)
50.2% (2,005)
By Period
Matthews
Grant
P1
55.5%
51.1%
P2
53.3%
51.5%
P3
52.8%
54.3%
OT
56.6%
35.7%
Final 5 min
54.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
53.9%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 03:40 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 12:47 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 3 | 08:34 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 2 | 12:33 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 1 | 11:47 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 7, 2020 | 1 | 04:45 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 2 | 16:12 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 2 | 09:45 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 1 | 15:58 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 1 | 13:01 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 1 | 10:12 | Offensive | Derek Grant |
| Feb 11, 2017 | 2 | 19:26 | Offensive | Derek Grant |