Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Matthews wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Grant shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 55.8% vs Grant 48.8% (+7.6%)
Offensive zone
Matthews 79.1%
Defensive zone
Grant 73.7%
Neutral zone
Grant 54.9%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 50.2%
50.2%
49.8%
Matthews
Grant
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
56.3% (1,167)
49.1% (222)
+7.2%
Power Play
57.5% (40)
76.5% (17)
-19.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (22)
45.3% (181)
+4.7%
On power play, Grant has a +19.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Matthews is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (755).
Matthews shoots left. Grant is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Matthews
Grant
Home
60.7% (572)
49.8% (223)
Away
52.4% (657)
47.2% (197)
By Period
Matthews
Grant
P1
60.3%
43.9%
P2
55.6%
49.7%
P3
53.3%
51.4%
OT
45.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
56.2%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
48.6%