Scouting Report
Derek Grant holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 52.2% vs Grant 54.3% (-2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 82.6%
Defensive zone
Grant 76.5%
Neutral zone
Grant 52.8%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 51.1%
51.1%
48.9%
Matthews
Grant
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Matthews
Grant
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
1
0
Matthews
Grant
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Grant
0
1
Matthews
Grant
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Grant
0
1
Matthews
Grant
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
Grant
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (1,015)
56.5% (308)
-3.8%
Power Play
34.6% (26)
65.3% (49)
-30.7%
Penalty Kill
75.0% (8)
48.5% (136)
+26.5%
On power play, Grant has a +30.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Grant shoots left. Matthews is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (661).
Matthews shoots left. Grant is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (313).
Home / Away
Matthews
Grant
Home
54.8% (515)
60.3% (257)
Away
50.2% (534)
49.6% (236)
By Period
Matthews
Grant
P1
54.4%
54.7%
P2
50.4%
54.0%
P3
51.8%
57.1%
OT
75.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.4%
Grant
48.0%▼
57.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 05:03 | Defensive | Derek Grant |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 04:47 | Neutral | Derek Grant |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 1 | 03:40 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |